| CURRENT SEASON RECORD |
| Official Plays: |
4-5 |
| Early Looks: |
12-5 |
| Overall: |
16-10 +1.75 UNITS |
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| NEXT E-MAIL UPDATE |
| *Next subscriber update (Official Plays) will be on TUESDAY before NOON Pacific. If you do not receive an update by this time, please e-mail us immediately so it can be resent. |
RAS NCAA Football - "Early Looks" Report - Week 5
About this update: The RAS "Early Looks" Report is released each Sunday Night shortly after the opening numbers for the following week's games are posted at major offshore sportsbooks. It typically will include 3-7 plays with analysis. This report focuses on beating potential line moves during the week. All plays are recommended for a 1/2 UNIT.
Money Management: Money management is even more important to the success of a sports bettor than picking winners. Please practice sound money management and always wager responsibly. Win streaks and losing streaks will occur, do not overreact to either.
Week 4 Recap: Tulsa dominated early on but saw one drive end on downs at the Navy 1 and another on a missed field goal at the Navy 9. The teams traded points for the rest of the game and Tulsa emerged with a one point win in overtime after blocking a Navy extra point. Air Force executed their triple option offense to near perfection in a 31-24 win at Wyoming. The Cowboys got within 7 after a 50 yard fumble return for a touchdown but Air Force was not to be denied and scored on their next two possessions to seal the win. Early looks went 4-0 and we are now in plus units for the season.
*Lines current as of 8:05pm PST on Sunday.
| RAS "Early Looks " - Week 5 - Four Plays |
Wyoming (+6.5) at Syracuse - 9:00am Pacific - Game #323-324
The Cowboys have already had some success traveling east as they out gained Virginia by over 100 yards before losing in overtime on a missed extra point. In next game they out gained #22 Boise State but loss by 7 due in part to an interception runback. Last week they ran into a buzz saw and lost by 7 to a very good Air Force team. First year starting QB Jacob Doss had his best performance of the season vs Air Force after being challenged by his head coach to be more accurate. Wyoming's defense may get sack leader Mike Groover (sprained knee, miss AFA game) back in time for this and will be happy to face Syracuse's offense that ranks 98th in the nation. The already suspect Orange attack took a big hit with the injury of #1 receiver Taj Smith (clavicle, out 6-8 weeks) in last game. Through four games he had twice as many receiving yards as the next best on the team. Syracuse has won two straight games but did so against Illinois and Miami Ohio who are winless vs 1-A opponents this year. The Mountain West conference continues to be underrated. MWC teams are now 13-6 ATS in 2006 non-conference games. This line is too high. Take the points.
RAS Early Look: Wyoming +6.5 1/2 UNIT |
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California at Oregon State (+10) - 1:00pm Pacific - Game #345-346
The Beavers were embarrassed at Boise State three weeks back but since have had a BYE week and an easy 38-0 win over Idaho. That shutout gave the defense a much needed confidence boost as they held the Vandals to just 185 total yards for the game. The Beaver offense is very experienced and has the potential to be very good. Junior WR Sammie Stroughter is emerging as a needed playmaker. Cal is a difficult team to figure out right now. They have been impressive in recent wins over Minnesota and Arizona State but rank 98th in the country in total defense despite one of their four opponents being 1-AA Portland State. Leading tackler Thomas DeCoud left last game with a "twisted knee" and is questionable this week. Last week Cal had a punt return for a TD and two interception runbacks for TD's contribute to a misleading final score. The Sun Devils still ran for over 200 yards and would have ran for more if not for the lopsided score. Oregon State has all of the tools needed to pull of an upset here. They actually won 23-20 at Cal last year, return more starters than the Bears, and this year are on their home field. Take the big number.
RAS Early Look: Oregon State +10 1/2 UNIT |
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Kansas State at Baylor (-3) - 4:00pm Pacific - Game #337-338
Baylor is 1-3 but easily could be 4-0. They have led at halftime in all three losses. They outplayed TCU for the first three quarters but did not capitalize and lost by 10 in the season opener. They then lost at Washington State by 2 on a late field goal and last Saturday lost to Army in overtime. Baylor's new spread offense is said to be very close to putting everything together. BYU installed a similar offense last year and game five was when they really started to click. KSU is having a tough time with their new west coast offense which is typically the case in the first year for a team that was built to run the ball. They are averaging just 288 yards per game (91st in the nation) despite facing a 1-AA opponent, Florida Atlantic, and Marshall all at home. They were held to just 247 yards vs Louisville last week with 69 of that coming on a long run late in the game. Things will not get any easier in their first road game of the season. KSU is 6-18 ATS in last 24 road openers. Baylor showed it could play last year by winning at Iowa State and taking Texas A&M and Oklahoma to OT. Players were very upset following last week's loss to Army. Expect a big effort from the Bears here.
RAS Early Look: Baylor -3 1/2 UNIT |
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Washington at Arizona (-3.5) - 7:00pm Pacific - Game #387-388
The Wildcats definitely did not embarrass themselves last week vs USC. They stayed within 10 points of the mighty Trojans until a fumbled punt at their own 10 yard line late in the game. Arizona's only two losses this season have come against teams ranked in the top 10. Their opening win over BYU was not pretty but the Cougars have been impressive since. Mike Stoops is in his third season now and this is a pivotal game as they look to avoid an 0-2 start in Pac-10 play and face two straight on the road following this. Walk-on RB Chris Jennings has shown signs of being a solid player and JC transfer DL Luis Holmes finally provided some much needed pass rush last week. Washington is coming off back to back come from behind emotional home wins over Fresno State and UCLA. Last week they trailed the Bruins 16-0 early on and did not take the lead until late in the 4th quarter. It was a game they may have been blown out in if played on the road. A late interception runback made for a misleading final margin. Washington won here 38-14 last year aided by a +4 turnover ratio. Arizona has slightly more talent, is playing at home, and figures to be prepared for a top effort. Give the small number.
RAS Early Look: Arizona -3.5 1/2 UNIT |
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Do not hesitate to contact me with any questions or comments.
Good luck!
| Cordially, |
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